Even a clock (analog) broken, twice a day marks the exact time. This well-known proverb in my opinion is the most suitable for describing many of the alleged paranormal phenomena presented by shows such as Mystery (Italy 1) and Voyager (Rai 2). In one of the last episodes of the latter, Roberto Giacobbo talks about the magic number 3964 as a key to predicting who will win the World Cup currently underway in South Africa.
The mechanism is as follows: 3964 - 2010 = 1954.Ovvero: to know the name of the next national champion of the world, just steal the magic number (3964 precisely), the year of global interest (in our case 2010) and you get another year (1954). So the team that won in 1954 will be the winner this year.
Bello, you say. But the evidence? How can we be sure that really works?
occurs: if we divide by 2 we get the magic number 1982 (incidentally, the year of the third victory for Italy, will be a chance? ), then we can deduce that all the victorious teams from 1986 onwards will be the same as counting backwards from 1978 (1986 and 1978, 1990 and 1974, 1994 and 1970, 1998 and 1966, 2002 and 1962, 2006 and 1958).
So going to comb through the appropriate Wikipedia page :
1986 -
Argentina 1978 - Argentina
Want to see what really works?
1990 - West Germany
1974 - West Germany
Damn!
1994 -
Brazil 1970 - Brazil
impressed!
1998 -
France 1966 - England
Uhm ... there is something wrong ...
2002 -
Brazil 1970 - Brazil
works here more ...
2006 -
Italy 1958 - Brazil
And here of course not!
But we come to this year: in 1954 he won ( suspense ...) to Germany, but will not even in the final having been beaten just last night from Spain.
Conclusions
on 6 tests, the reliability of the magic number is 50% the same as throwing a coin into the air.
Perhaps the creator of the rumor tried to apply the scientific method, based on observing the phenomenon (some mirrored in the national winners of the World Cup than in 1982) and then trying a theory to represent him.
But the scientific method also requires experience, or to verify the results of the theory. Results which, unfortunately for Germany, are wrong.
not enough for a theory of functions, or sometimes, as in this case, half the time.
must always work!
PS: Regarding the octopus Paul, already widely talked about Online Query.
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