"Berlusconi has the knife by the handle."
"Fini on the side of the knife handle."
You've probably read or heard one of these two sentences last week. This is a typical Italian Manichaeism. The truth, as usual, is another. Neither has the game already in hand. This is an open debate in which all can happen. The vote of confidence in the Secretary the other day Caliendo has highlighted the vagueness of the whole situation.
Finian The votes of the House (added to those of PD, the UDC, the MPA and the API) could be sufficient to bring down the government. But a crisis right now is what Fine wants to avoid. New elections mean essentially two things: the media mobilized against former Dolphin (at the risk of him losing even those few votes that might subtract from the PDL) and Berlusconi al Quirinale in 3 years, when the mandate expires Napolitano. Moreover, even with the agreement is quite problematic for Fini Casini, given the varied stances on ethical issues since the President of the Chamber. And both want to become Prime Minister. No, the remake of the sub-government-Fini Casini not be feasible.
But on the other side of the fence, not even Berlusconi can sleep soundly. He wants to go to the polls now but is not up to him to choose. As long as your government does not fall in Parliament, he knows that Napolitano did not ever concede the early voting. It also knows that Fini will not be so stupid as to vote for his mistrust. The only way to re Silvio would be a confidence vote by secret ballot by convincing PDL thirty deputies to vote against the government, but the risk is very high. So
will continue to sail in sight, with Berlusconi, who will increasingly use the confidence in the House and ends that look good and make him miss, Cassano, however, all measures that are not to his liking. At least until you change something.
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